Demographic Winter

New Hampshire’s Inverting Age Pyramid

The U.S. Census Bureau recently released new data showing state and county population by major age groups as of July 1, 2011. This new data shows another slice of “Demographic Winter” in New Hampshire by looking at the overall age pyramid of the state. A healthy age pyramid, as the name suggests, is one where young folks form the large base and the oldest folks …

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Where Have New Hampshire’s Young, Single, and College-Educated Population Gone?

Anecdotally, it is a well-worn verse in New Hampshire that the state has been losing its young people. A new study from the U.S. Census Bureau confirms this. The study titled “Historical Migration of the Young, Single, and College-Educated: 1965 to 2000,” (pdf) examined the past four decennial censuses to determine the net migration of this population among the 50 states. Based on a …

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Demographic Winter and Taxes

Wendy Warcholik, Executive Director of Cornerstone, had the honor of speaking at the Tea Party Rally in Manchester on Sunday.  It was a beautiful day, the crowd was enthusiastic, and the line-up of speakers was incredible. Wendy’s talk was titled “Demographic Winter and Taxes” from which the following is excerpted: The sad reality is that New Hampshire’s families are under a state of siege. …

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Demographic Winter Arrives in Three New Hampshire Counties

Today the U.S. Census Bureau released new population data for New Hampshire by county (xls) between July 1, 2010 and July 1, 2011.  We’ve been talking about Demographic Winter for some time now, but it no longer a hypothetical for some counties in New Hampshire. As shown in the table below, three counties now have negative natural population growth (births minus deaths) including: Belknap (-99), …

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U.S. Census Bureau Compares America circa 1940 to 2010

Check out this cool infographic from the U.S. Census Bureau which compares America circa 1940 to 2010. Why 1940? The 1940 Census was just released in its entirety which means you can can see now see all the original data without privacy concerns. All private information from the decennial census are sealed for 72 years–so private data from the 2010 census won’t be available until 2082. …

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The Sustainable Demographic Dividend

The National Marriage Project at the University of Virginia recently released a fascinating new study called “The Sustainable Demographic Dividend” that discusses the world-wide consequences of Demographic Winter. From the Executive Summary: The Sustainable Demographic Dividend contends that the long-term fortunes of the modern economy rise and fall with the family. The report focuses on the key roles marriage and fertility play in sustaining long-term economic …

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Traditional Marriage, Demographic Winter and Economic Growth . . . Oh, My!

photo credit: kenteegardin Ever since our Foster’s Editorial Board meeting for restoring traditional marriage was published, the premise that the decline in the institution of marriage has had an economic price has been called into question. Yet, we are hardly the only ones making such an obvious connection. David P. Goldman, a.k.a., “Spengler,” made the same argument several years ago and has since gone …

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New Hampshire’s Demographic Winter has an Economic Price

photo credit: George Rex A new study, “Demographic Changes, Financial Markets, and the Economy,”does not paint an encouraging picture for the future growth of New Hampshire’s economy now entering Demographic Winter (where a shrinking number of young people cannot support current population levels).  From the study: It seems natural that the shifting composition of a nation’s population ought to influence GDP growth and perhaps also capital markets …

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Wanted in New Hampshire: More Babies . . .

Following on the recent post on New Hampshire’s slide into Demographic Winter, one critical piece of information that we need is whether or not the decline in folks under the age of 18 is a one-time blip or something more permanent? As shown in the chart below, between 1991 and 2011 the number of births in New Hampshire has plummeted by 25 percent to 12,795 in …

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Is New Hampshire Headed for a “Demographic Winter?”

According to the latest population data from the U.S. Census Bureau, New Hampshire is facing a “demographic winter” which means that there are too few young people to support the current population level. As shown in the chart below, between 2000 and 2010, the number of people under the age of 18 fell by 8 percent while the number of people over the age …

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